Lorenzo Lorusso vs Zura Tkemaladze Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Lorusso has a slightly lower win rate on second serve points (39.05%) compared to Tkemaladze (41.35%). Could this give Tkemaladze an edge?
• Return Game Stats: Both players are fairly matched on return performances, with Tkemaladze leading slightly in returning second serves at 46.72% compared to Lorusso’s 45.61%. However, Lorusso is slightly better on first serve returns at 24.5% compared to Tkemaladze's 23.92%.
• Under Pressure Analysis: Lorusso shows greater resilience by saving 56.7% of breakpoints, whereas Tkemaladze saves 49.06%, indicating Lorusso's ability to perform under pressure.
• Overall Performance: Lorusso has a better win rate over the past year at 53.33% compared to Tkemaladze’s 43.9%, which might suggest a form advantage.
• Best Surface: Both players perform best on Hard courts, but Lorusso has a slightly higher win rate (55%) compared to Tkemaladze (51%).
• Player Level and Opponent Quality: Lorusso tends to play and succeed slightly more at Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K level at 54.55%, and has faced tougher opponents with an average rank of 191.4 compared to Tkemaladze’s 427.83 rank.
• Deciding Set Performance: In matches that go to a deciding set, Lorusso has a 50% win rate, superior to Tkemaladze's 38%, indicating a potentially stronger mental edge in crucial moments.
• Break Point Conversion: Tkemaladze excels by converting 47.62% of break points, superior to Lorusso's 35.9%, offering a critical advantage in turning games around.

Editorial Prediction (May 29, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing their second serve and return game stats, both Lorusso and Tkemaladze present strengths and vulnerabilities. While Tkemaladze has a slight edge in second serve points and break point conversion, Lorusso's return game on first serves is slightly stronger.

Lorusso’s ability to save breakpoints more effectively suggests resilience under pressure, which could be a decisive factor. Furthermore, Lorusso's superior win rate over the last year and competence in deciding sets hint at a more consistent performance level.

Although Tkemaladze performs well converting break points, the overall profile favors Lorusso due to their slightly better performance metrics and experience against tougher opponents.

Based on these combined insights, Lorusso is expected to have the upper hand and is the likely winner of the upcoming tennis match.